Tag Archive | "2018"

July 2018 Stock Considerations

July 2018 Stock Considerations

Here we are with another installment of my “stock considerations” for the upcoming month. With the first week of trading upon us in July, it is time, once again, to lay out a plan for my potential stock pick(s) for the month. As many of you already know, I make sure to purchase at least one stock every single month, no matter where we are in a business or macroeconomic cycle. The goal of every long-term dividend growth investor is to remain consistent with their buys and try not to attempt to time the market and wait for the “best” possible time to invest. Time in the market is our single greatest asset that allows for faster compounding and “smoothing” out those inevitable peaks and valleys of stock prices we all experience in the near term. With that being said, let’s take a look at my July 2018 stock considerations.

Looking forward towards July, I’m finding that, believe it or not, I have less potential stock buys to choose from than in previous months. The quarter ended on a strong note, as we have seen the health REITs bounce back from their 2018 lows, and utilities and even the much-maligned staples have bounced. You are all familiar with these names, as Ventas, Inc. (NYSE:VTR), Welltower Inc. (NYSE:WELL), HCP, Inc. (NYSE:HCP), LTC Properties, Inc. (NYSE:LTC), Dominion Energy, Inc. (NYSE:D), The Southern Company (NYSE:SO), Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:ED), Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE:KMB), PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE:PEP), The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ:KHC), The Clorox Company (NYSE:CLX), Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) and more have come back in earnest. Of course, there are still a few duds out there that have been left behind this rally and are seemingly stuck in neutral or even reverse for the time being. Stocks like General Electric Company (NYSE:GE), General Mills, Inc. (NYSE:GIS), Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI) and Cardinal Health, Inc. (NYSE:CAH) come to mind right off the bat.

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7 A-Rated Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2018

7 A-Rated Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2018

Believe it not, we’re almost at the midpoint of the year. So far, it has been a wild ride.

We’ve seen plenty of triple-digit rallies as well as triple-digit dives. Bond prices have dropped as rates rise and the U.S. economy, as well as the global economy, looks like recovery is gaining traction, if not momentum.

Due to the big corporate tax break in December, earnings have been a bit distorted for the first couple quarters, as companies have poured a lot of the money into share buybacks, which artificially boost earnings.

But that is about as much cloud as the silver lining for this market has.

Granted, for all the sound a fury we’ve seen, it hasn’t signified much yet. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 1.8% year to date. The S&P 500 is up 3.2%. The Nasdaq has been the big winner, up an encouraging 10.2% so far this year.

Sell ‘Super Stocks’ When You See THIS

Now is a good time to get your portfolio ready for what’s coming next. These seven A-rated stocks to buy for the second half of 2018 should be at the top of that list.

A-Rated Stocks to Buy: Amazon (AMZN)

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‘Sell in May’ Could Be Particularly Good Advice in 2018

‘Sell in May’ Could Be Particularly Good Advice in 2018

Stocks dribbled lower on Monday after charging out of the gate thanks to over-the-weekend M&A news and some solid big tech earnings because those events just couldn’t motivate the seller in a sustainable way. Sellers came on hard in the final minutes of trading, pushing the major averages down to close at the lows of the day.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6 percent while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both lost 0.8 percent.

All 11 sectors finished in negative territory with telecom leading the way down for a 2.7% loss. This on doubts anti-trust regulators could lean against the proposed Sprint Corp (NYSE:S) and T-Mobile US Inc (NASDAQ:TMUS) tie up. Those two stocks fell 13.7% and 6.2% respectively.

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On the upside, McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) gained 5.8% to hit a three-month high after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenues for first quarter. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) rose 1.8% ahead of earnings.

Energy stocks nearly finished flat thanks to a 0.7% jump in crude oil to $68.53 per barrel — challenging the three-year highs hit last week — amid fresh tension in the Middle East as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accused Iran of lying about not having a nuclear weapons program.

On the face of it, a single day’s action shouldn’t matter much to the average investor. But it’s different this time. That’s because the disappointment performance puts an end to an underwhelming year-to-date — with the S&P 500 down 1% so far in 2018. The Dow is off 2.4% — heading into what is historically the worst six months of the year for stocks.

Remember, “Sell in May” and all of that? The trouble is: History suggests a weak start to the year makes the worst six months even more painful. And mid-term election years (like 2018) also trend to be a drag.

This will be a shock to many, as stocks have actually risen between April and October in five of the last six years. Moreover, earnings growth is strong, economic growth is steady, and the job market is firing on all cylinders.

But history should not be ignored.

According to LPL Financial, since 1950 the S&P 500 has gained just 1.5% between May and October and has risen just 63 percent of the time. Compare that to the November through April period (best six months) where stocks have gained an average of 7.1% and risen nearly 77% of the time.

During mid-term election years, the win rate for the worst six months drops to just 53%.

Ignore the Noise, Intel Corporation’s Earnings Really Were That Good!
SentimenTrader notes that investors haven’t had to deal with a year-to-date loss in stocks through April since 2009.

When stocks had performed well through the beginning of the year, the S&P 500 showed a positive return during May through October 74% of the time for an average gain of four percent. For years it was down, the S&P 500 rallied just 44% of the time for an average return of -2.9%.

Check out Serge Berger’s Trade of the Day for May 1.

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